Review of Economic Studies (accepted for publication)

        Inference in a Synchronization Game with Social Interactions (PIER Working Paper 08-032)
        Journal of Econometrics, 148(1), January 2009 (pp.56-71)
        Internet Appendix: pdf
        Older, slightly longer version: pdf)

        Conditional Moments and Independence (PIER Working Paper 08-010)

        The American Statistician, 62(3), August 2008 (pp.219-221)

        Effects of the Mercosur Integration on External Savings Attraction Mechanisms

        (in Portuguese) (with Afonso Bevilaqua and Marcio G.P. Garcia), in Renato Baumann (org.),

        Mercosul -- Avancos e Desafios da Integracao, Brasilia: IPEA/CEPAL, 2001

.

        A Note on the Optimal Composition of the Public Debt:  Reflections on the Brazilian Case

        (in Portuguese) (with Ilan Goldfajn), Brazilian Journal of Applied Economics, December 2000

.

  >Recent Working Papers

.       How Beliefs about HIV Affect Risky Behaviors: Evidence from Malawi (submitted)

        (with Gil Shapira and Petra Todd)

        (PIER Working Paper 09-031)

        First Version: October 2008

        This Version: August 2009

        * This paper is substantially revised from an earlier version that was circulated under the same title (PARC Working Paper No.9, 2008; PIER Working Paper 08-041)

        A MRC Estimator for Semi-parametric Ordered Choice Models (coming soon)

        (with Bo Honore)

        Identification and Estimation of Voter Preferences (coming soon)

        (with Antonio Merlo)

  >Work in Progress

.   1. Econometrics.

       Multiple Equilibria and Signs of Interaction Effects in Games with Incomplete Information
        (with Xun Tang)

       Nonparametric Identification in Duration Models
        (with Stefan Hoderlein)

       Varieties of Sample Selection in Duration Models

        (with Antonio Merlo)

    2. Empirical and Applied Micro.

        Undocumented Migration with Endogenous Coyote Prices

        (with Tim Halliday)

.

        Another Look at the Endogenous Determination of Time Preferences: The Effect of Uncertainty

        Behavioral Determinants of HIV/AIDS: A Dynamic Model of Marriage and Cheating in Malawi

        (with Gil Shapira and Petra Todd)

       Interdependent Durations in Joint Retirement Decisions

        (with Bo Honore)

  >Older Working Papers

        Analysts' Forecasts and the Reflection Problem

        Liquidity and Dividend Policy (under revision )

        (with Deniz Igan and Marcelo Pinheiro)